Reports: Class 8 demand drives robust July purchasing

Industry analysts highlight a year-over-year surge in equipment acquisitions as OEMs navigate packed production backlogs and looming emissions regulations.

Key Highlights

  • July Class 8 orders increased by 68% year-over-year, reaching 22,100 units, despite seasonal and production challenges, according to ACT Resarch.
  • Industry focus is shifting toward 2027 engine technology and EPA emissions regulations, influencing order patterns and manufacturer strategies.
  • OEMs are considering extending current engine platforms into 2027 using nonconformance penalties, balancing regulatory compliance with market demand.

Preliminary North American Class 8 net orders for July remained robust year-over-year, despite typical seasonal slowdowns and constrained production schedules, according to newly released data from ACT Research and FTR Intel.

Both firms indicate manufacturers’ 2026 production schedules are essentially full, shifting industry focus toward 2027 engine technology and upcoming Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) emissions regulations.

ACT records 68% order uptick

According to ACT’s count, Class 8 orders reached 22,100 units in July. The preliminary figure represents a 68% spike compared to July of last year—but a 30% month-over-month decrease on a seasonally adjusted basis.

“The sizable m/m decline doesn’t reflect a sudden drop in demand for new equipment but indicates a lack of 2026 build slots available as orders run up against full Class 8 backlogs, something we flagged as a possibility earlier this year,” Carter Vieth, ACT research analyst, said in a news release. “Lack of EPA clarity, at least until the end of August, may also be impacting orders, as OEMs and customers both await finality regarding regulations/penalties/pricing before 2027 order boards open.”

The momentum also was positive in the medium-duty sector, ACT indicated. Preliminary Classes 5-7 orders hit 18,300 units, a 41% jump year-over-year. “On a seasonally adjusted basis, medium-duty orders have remained north of 20,000-unit levels the past three months, a sizable improvement from the 16,000-unit level at the beginning of 2026,” Vieth added.

FTR notes 75% surge amid uncertainty

Echoing ACT’s findings, FTR reported North American Class 8 orders landed at 22,000 power units for the month, representing a 31% drop from June—but a substantial 75% gain year-over-year.

FTR pointed out that replacement demand, firmer freight rates, and a moderate pre-buy to avoid new emissions changes are continuing to support the market. Through July, net orders for 2026 to date were up 120% compared to the same period last year.

“With calendar 2026 production essentially sold out, attention shifts to decisions on model year 2027 engine technology, pricing, and build timing,” said Dan Moyer, FTR’s senior analyst for commercial vehicles. Almost all model year 2027 engines are expected to carry manufacturer upcharges tied to compliance with the Environmental Protection Agency’s 2027 NOx regulations. However, EPA’s proposed revisions to the 2027 NOx rule, published on July 14, introduce considerable flexibility for truck and engine manufacturers to address fleet demand.”

Elaborating on how engine makers might adapt, Moyer added: “For example, under EPA’s planned changes, manufacturers could continue building current-technology engines beyond 2026 indefinitely, subject to the payment of nonconformance penalties (NCPs), which presumably will be passed along to truck buyers. Several engine manufacturers have already announced plans to use NCPs to offer both current and new platforms well into 2027, and others are considering doing so.

“Overall, July’s preliminary order volume suggests that Class 8 demand remains healthy as activity normalizes from unusually strong winter and spring levels.”

About the Author

Jason McDaniel

Jason McDaniel, based in the Houston TX area, has more than 20 years of experience as an award-winning journalist. He spent 15 writing and editing for daily newspapers, including the Houston Chronicle, and began covering the commercial vehicle industry in 2018. He was named editor of Bulk Transporter and Refrigerated Transporter magazines in July 2020.

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